Guess?, Inc.
US ˙ NYSE ˙ US4016171054

Introduction

This page provides a comprehensive analysis of the known insider trading history of Dennis R Secor. Insiders are officers, directors, or significant investors in a company. It is illegal for insiders to make trades in their companies based on specific, non-public information. This does not mean it is illegal for them to make any trades in their own companies. However, they must report all trades to the SEC via a Form 4. Despite these restrictions, academic research suggests that insiders - in general - tend to outperform the market in their own companies.

Average Trade Profitability

The average trade profitability is the average return of all the open market purchases made by the insider in the last three years. To calculate this, we examine every open-market, unplanned purchase made by the insider, excluding all trades that were marked as part of a 10b5-1 trading plan. We then calculate the average performance of those trades over 3, 6, and 12 months, averaging each of those durations to generate a final performance metric for each trade. Finally, we average all of the performance metrics to calculate a performance metric for the insider. This list only includes insiders that have made at least three trades in the last two years.

If this insiders trade profitability is "N/A", then the insider either has not made any open-market purchases in the last three years, or the trades they’ve made are too recent to calculate a reliable performance metric.

Update Frequency: Daily

See the list of most profitable insider traders.

Companies with Reported Insider Positions

The SEC filings indicate Dennis R Secor has reported holdings or trades in the following companies:

Security Title Latest Reported Holdings
US:GES / Guess?, Inc. Interim CFO 75,229
US:FOSL / Fossil Group, Inc. Executive V.P. and CFO 146,804
How to Interpret the Charts

The following charts show the stock performance of securities subsequent to each open-market, non-planned trade made by Dennis R Secor. Non-planned trade are trades that were not made as part of a 10b5-1 trading plan. The stock performance is charted as cumulative percent change in share price. For example, if an insider trade was made on January 1, 2019, the chart will show the daily percent change of the security to the present day. If the share price were to go from $10 to $15 during this time, the cumulative percent change in share price would be 50%. A change in price from $10 to $20 would be 100%, and a change in price of $10 to $5 would be -50%.

Ultimately, we are trying to determine how closely the insider’s trades correlate to excess returns (positive or negative) in the share price in order to see if the insider is timing their trades to profit from insider information. Consider the situation where an insider was doing this. In this situation, we would expect either (a) positive returns after purchases, or (b) negative returns after sales. In the case of (a), the PURCHASE chart would show a series of upwardly sloping curves, indicating positive returns after each purchase transaction. In the case of (b), the SALE chart would show a series of downward sloping curves, indicating negative returns after each sale transaction.

However, this alone is not enough to draw conclusions. If, for example, the share price of the company was in a non-cyclical climb over many years, then we would expect all the post-purchase plots to be upwardly sloping. Likewise, non-cyclical declines over many years would result in downward sloping post-trade plots. Neither of these charts would suggest insider trading activity.

The strongest indicator would be a situation where the share price was extremely cyclical, and there were both positive signals in the PURCHASE chart and negative plots on the SALE chart. This situation would be highly suggestive of an insider that was timing trades to their financial advantage.

Insider Purchases GES / Guess?, Inc. - Short Term Profit Analysis

In this section, we analyze the profitability of every unplanned, open-market insider purchase made in GES / Guess?, Inc.. This analysis helps to understand if the insider consistently generates abnormal returns, and is worth following. This analysis is for one-year following each trade, and the results are theoretical.

The following table shows the most recent open market purchases that were not part of an automatic trading plan.

Trade Date Ticker Insider Reported
Shares
Reported
Price
Adjusted
Shares
Adjusted
Price
Cost Basis Days to
Max
Price at
Max
Max
Profit ($)
Max Return (%)
There are no known unplanned open-market trades for this insider and security combination

Adjusted Price is the split-adjusted price. Adjusted Shares is the split-adjusted shares.

GES / Guess?, Inc. Insider Trades
Insider Sales GES / Guess?, Inc. - Short Term Loss Analysis

In this section, we analyze the short-term loss avoidance of every unplanned, open-market insider sale made in GES / Guess?, Inc.. A consistent pattern of loss avoidance may suggest that future sale transactions may predict declines in price. This analysis is for one-year following each trade, and the results are theoretical.

The following table shows the most recent open market sales that were not part of an automatic trading plan.

Trade Date Ticker Insider Reported
Shares
Reported
Price
Adjusted
Shares
Adjusted
Price
Cost Basis Days to
Min
Price at
Min
Max Loss
Avoided ($)
Max Loss
Avoided (%)
2012-12-03 GES SECOR DENNIS R 30,000 25.6300 30,000 25.6300 768,900 25 24.17 -43,800 -5.70
2007-07-05 GES SECOR DENNIS R 8,000 50.2200 8,000 50.2200 401,760
2007-07-05 GES SECOR DENNIS R 7,500 49.6200 7,500 49.6200 372,150

Adjusted Price is the split-adjusted price. Adjusted Shares is the split-adjusted shares.

GES / Guess?, Inc. Insider Trades
Insider Trading History

This table shows the complete list of insider trades made by Dennis R Secor as disclosed to the Securities Exchange Commission (SEC).

File Date Tran Date Form Ticker Security Code 10b5-1 Shares Remaining Shares Percent
Change
Share
Price
Tran
Value
Remaining
Value
2024-10-10 2024-10-08 4 GES GUESS INC
Common Stock
A - Award 19,594 75,229 35.22
2024-04-03 2024-04-01 4 GES GUESS INC
Common Stock
A - Award 11,078 55,635 24.86
2023-04-04 2023-04-01 4 GES GUESS INC
Common Stock
A - Award 25,694 44,557 136.21
2022-04-08 3 GES GUESS INC
Common Stock
18,863
2017-04-18 2017-04-15 4 FOSL Fossil Group, Inc.
Common Stock
A - Award 40,389 146,804 37.95
2017-04-18 2017-04-15 4 FOSL Fossil Group, Inc.
Common Stock
A - Award 35,902 106,415 50.92
2017-04-04 2017-03-15 4/A FOSL Fossil Group, Inc.
Common Stock
F - Taxes -1,773 70,513 -2.45 16.42 -29,113 1,157,823
2017-04-04 2017-03-02 4/A FOSL Fossil Group, Inc.
Common Stock
F - Taxes -138 72,286 -0.19 18.88 -2,605 1,364,760
2017-04-04 2017-03-02 4/A FOSL Fossil Group, Inc.
Common Stock
A - Award 504 72,424 0.70
2017-03-15 2017-03-15 4 FOSL Fossil Group, Inc.
Common Stock
F - Taxes -1,773 70,601 -2.45 16.42 -29,113 1,159,268
2017-03-06 2017-03-02 4 FOSL Fossil Group, Inc.
Common Stock
A - Award 454 72,374 0.63
2016-12-27 2016-12-22 4 FOSL Fossil Group, Inc.
Common Stock
F - Taxes -2,483 71,920 -3.34
2016-11-28 2016-11-24 4 FOSL Fossil Group, Inc.
Common Stock
F - Taxes -2,427 74,403 -3.16
2016-04-08 2016-03-15 4/A FOSL Fossil Group, Inc.
Stock Appreciation Right
A - Award 17,634 17,634
2016-04-08 2016-03-15 4/A FOSL Fossil Group, Inc.
Common Stock
A - Award 9,378 76,830 13.90
2016-04-06 2015-12-22 4/A FOSL Fossil Group, Inc.
Stock Appreciation Right
A - Award 21,740 21,740
2016-04-06 2015-12-22 4/A FOSL Fossil Group, Inc.
Common Stock
A - Award 27,230 67,452 67.70
2016-03-17 2016-03-15 4 FOSL Fossil Group, Inc.
Stock Appreciation Right
A - Award 17,634 17,634
2016-03-17 2016-03-15 4 FOSL Fossil Group, Inc.
Common Stock
A - Award 9,378 76,830 13.90
2015-12-23 2015-12-22 4 FOSL Fossil Group, Inc.
Common Stock
A - Award 27,230 67,452 67.70
2015-11-24 2015-11-24 4 FOSL Fossil Group, Inc.
Common Stock
A - Award 26,614 40,222 195.58
2015-03-17 2015-03-15 4 FOSL Fossil Group, Inc.
Stock Appreciation Right
A - Award 10,275 10,275
2015-03-17 2015-03-15 4 FOSL Fossil Group, Inc.
Common Stock
A - Award 6,050 13,608 80.05
2015-03-17 2015-03-15 4 FOSL Fossil Group, Inc.
Common Stock
F - Taxes -537 7,558 -6.63
2015-01-16 2015-01-15 4 FOSL Fossil Group, Inc.
Common Stock
F - Taxes -314 8,095 -3.73
2014-04-01 2013-01-15 4/A FOSL Fossil Group, Inc.
Stock Appreciation Right
A - Award 6,310 6,310
2014-03-18 2014-03-15 4 FOSL Fossil Group, Inc.
Stock Appreciation Right
A - Award 11,469 11,469
2014-03-18 2014-03-15 4 FOSL Fossil Group, Inc.
Common Stock
A - Award 3,995 8,409 90.51
2014-03-18 2014-03-15 4 FOSL Fossil Group, Inc.
Common Stock
F - Taxes -172 4,414 -3.75
2014-01-16 2014-01-15 4 FOSL Fossil Group, Inc.
Common Stock
F - Taxes -308 4,586 -6.29
2013-03-19 2013-03-15 4 FOSL FOSSIL INC
Common Stock
A - Award 1,880 4,894 62.38
2013-01-17 2013-01-15 4 FOSL FOSSIL INC
Stock Appreciation Right
A - Award 5,392 5,392
2013-01-17 2013-01-15 4 FOSL FOSSIL INC
Common Stock
A - Award 3,014 3,014
2012-12-11 2012-12-07 4 GES GUESS INC
Common Stock
D - Sale to Issuer -32,849 24,119 -57.66
2012-12-05 2012-12-03 4 GES GUESS INC
Employee Stock Option (right to buy)
M - Exercise -10,000 5,000 -66.67
2012-12-05 2012-12-03 4 GES GUESS INC
Employee Stock Option (right to buy)
M - Exercise -20,000 0 -100.00
2012-12-05 2012-12-03 4 GES GUESS INC
Common Stock
S - Sale -30,000 56,968 -34.50 25.63 -768,900 1,460,090
2012-12-05 2012-12-03 4 GES GUESS INC
Common Stock
M - Exercise 10,000 86,968 12.99 22.03 220,300 1,915,905
2012-12-05 2012-12-03 4 GES GUESS INC
Common Stock
M - Exercise 20,000 76,968 35.11 21.62 432,400 1,664,048
2012-06-25 2012-06-21 4 GES GUESS INC
Common Stock
A - Award 18,000 56,389 46.89
2012-03-30 2012-03-28 4 GES GUESS INC
Employee Stock Option (right to buy)
A - Award 10,000 10,000
2012-03-30 2012-03-28 4 GES GUESS INC
Common Stock
A - Award 8,000 38,389 26.33
2012-01-04 2011-12-31 4 GES GUESS INC
Common Stock
F - Taxes -1,699 30,140 -5.34 29.82 -50,664 898,775
2007-07-06 2007-07-05 4 GES GUESS INC
Employee Stock Options (right to buy)
M - Exercise -8,000 32,000 -20.00
2007-07-06 2007-07-05 4 GES GUESS INC
Common Stock
S - Sale -7,500 24,900 -23.15 49.62 -372,150 1,235,538
2007-07-06 2007-07-05 4 GES GUESS INC
Common Stock
S - Sale -8,000 32,400 -19.80 50.22 -401,760 1,627,128
2007-07-06 2007-07-05 4 GES GUESS INC
Common Stock
M - Exercise 8,000 40,400 24.69 20.18 161,400 815,070
P
Open market or private purchase of non-derivative or derivative security
S
Open market or private sale of non-derivative or derivative security
A
Grant, award, or other acquisition of securities from the company (such as an option)
C
Conversion of derivative
D
Sale or transfer of securities back to the company
F
Payment of exercise price or tax liability using portion of securities received from the company
G
Gift of securities by or to the insider
K
Equity swaps and similar hedging transactions
M
Exercise or conversion of derivative security received from the company (such as an option)
V
A transaction voluntarily reported on Form 4
J
Other (accompanied by a footnote describing the transaction)