Michael Koehler - Insider Trading Tracker

Introduction

This page provides a comprehensive analysis of the known insider trading history of Michael Koehler. Insiders are officers, directors, or significant investors in a company. It is illegal for insiders to make trades in their companies based on specific, non-public information. This does not mean it is illegal for them to make any trades in their own companies. However, they must report all trades to the SEC via a Form 4. Despite these restrictions, academic research suggests that insiders - in general - tend to outperform the market in their own companies.

Average Trade Profitability

Companies with Reported Insider Positions

The SEC filings indicate Michael Koehler has reported holdings or trades in the following companies:

How to Interpret the Charts

The following charts show the stock performance of securities subsequent to each open-market, non-planned trade made by Michael Koehler. Non-planned trade are trades that were not made as part of a 10b5-1 trading plan. The stock performance is charted as cumulative percent change in share price. For example, if an insider trade was made on January 1, 2019, the chart will show the daily percent change of the security to the present day. If the share price were to go from $10 to $15 during this time, the cumulative percent change in share price would be 50%. A change in price from $10 to $20 would be 100%, and a change in price of $10 to $5 would be -50%.

Ultimately, we are trying to determine how closely the insider’s trades correlate to excess returns (positive or negative) in the share price in order to see if the insider is timing their trades to profit from insider information. Consider the situation where an insider was doing this. In this situation, we would expect either (a) positive returns after purchases, or (b) negative returns after sales. In the case of (a), the PURCHASE chart would show a series of upwardly sloping curves, indicating positive returns after each purchase transaction. In the case of (b), the SALE chart would show a series of downward sloping curves, indicating negative returns after each sale transaction.

However, this alone is not enough to draw conclusions. If, for example, the share price of the company was in a non-cyclical climb over many years, then we would expect all the post-purchase plots to be upwardly sloping. Likewise, non-cyclical declines over many years would result in downward sloping post-trade plots. Neither of these charts would suggest insider trading activity.

The strongest indicator would be a situation where the share price was extremely cyclical, and there were both positive signals in the PURCHASE chart and negative plots on the SALE chart. This situation would be highly suggestive of an insider that was timing trades to their financial advantage.

Insider Purchases HRI / Herc Holdings Inc. - Short Term Profit Analysis

In this section, we analyze the profitability of every unplanned, open-market insider purchase made in HRI / Herc Holdings Inc.. This analysis helps to understand if the insider consistently generates abnormal returns, and is worth following. This analysis is for one-year following each trade, and the results are theoretical.

The following table shows the most recent open market purchases that were not part of an automatic trading plan.

Trade Date	Ticker	Insider	Reported Shares	Reported Price	Adjusted Shares	Adjusted Price	Cost Basis	Days to Max	Price at Max	Max Profit ($)	Max Return (%)
There are no known unplanned open-market trades for this insider and security combination

Adjusted Price is the split-adjusted price. Adjusted Shares is the split-adjusted shares.

Insider Sales HRI / Herc Holdings Inc. - Short Term Loss Analysis

In this section, we analyze the short-term loss avoidance of every unplanned, open-market insider sale made in HRI / Herc Holdings Inc.. A consistent pattern of loss avoidance may suggest that future sale transactions may predict declines in price. This analysis is for one-year following each trade, and the results are theoretical.

The following table shows the most recent open market sales that were not part of an automatic trading plan.

Trade Date	Ticker	Insider	Reported Shares	Reported Price	Adjusted Shares	Adjusted Price	Cost Basis	Days to Min	Price at Min	Max Loss Avoided ($)	Max Loss Avoided (%)
There are no known unplanned open-market trades for this insider and security combination

Adjusted Price is the split-adjusted price. Adjusted Shares is the split-adjusted shares.

Insider Purchases TDC / Teradata Corporation - Short Term Profit Analysis

In this section, we analyze the profitability of every unplanned, open-market insider purchase made in HRI / Herc Holdings Inc.. This analysis helps to understand if the insider consistently generates abnormal returns, and is worth following. This analysis is for one-year following each trade, and the results are theoretical.

The following table shows the most recent open market purchases that were not part of an automatic trading plan.

Trade Date	Ticker	Insider	Reported Shares	Reported Price	Adjusted Shares	Adjusted Price	Cost Basis	Days to Max	Price at Max	Max Profit ($)	Max Return (%)
2014-02-10	TDC	KOEHLER MICHAEL	10,000	41.3000	10,000	41.3000	413,000	49	49.1900	78,900	19.10

Adjusted Price is the split-adjusted price. Adjusted Shares is the split-adjusted shares.

Insider Sales TDC / Teradata Corporation - Short Term Loss Analysis

In this section, we analyze the short-term loss avoidance of every unplanned, open-market insider sale made in HRI / Herc Holdings Inc.. A consistent pattern of loss avoidance may suggest that future sale transactions may predict declines in price. This analysis is for one-year following each trade, and the results are theoretical.

The following table shows the most recent open market sales that were not part of an automatic trading plan.

Trade Date	Ticker	Insider	Reported Shares	Reported Price	Adjusted Shares	Adjusted Price	Cost Basis	Days to Min	Price at Min	Max Loss Avoided ($)	Max Loss Avoided (%)
2016-03-08	TDC	KOEHLER MICHAEL	350,000	26.7850	350,000	26.7850	9,374,750	57	24.4	-834,750	-8.90
2016-03-02	TDC	KOEHLER MICHAEL	11,331	25.4090	11,331	25.4090	287,909
2014-11-07	TDC	KOEHLER MICHAEL	15,394	42.1470	15,394	42.1470	648,811
2012-05-14	TDC	KOEHLER MICHAEL	17,503	70.5008	17,503	70.5008	1,233,976
2012-05-04	TDC	KOEHLER MICHAEL	67,221	73.7190	67,221	73.7190	4,955,465
2012-05-04	TDC	KOEHLER MICHAEL	12,779	73.5140	12,779	73.5140	939,435
2012-02-10	TDC	KOEHLER MICHAEL	36,776	61.9690	36,776	61.9690	2,278,972

Adjusted Price is the split-adjusted price. Adjusted Shares is the split-adjusted shares.

Insider Trading History

This table shows the complete list of insider trades made by Michael Koehler as disclosed to the Securities Exchange Commission (SEC).