Post Holdings, Inc.
US ˙ NYSE ˙ US7374461041

Introduction

This page provides a comprehensive analysis of the known insider trading history of William H Danforth. Insiders are officers, directors, or significant investors in a company. It is illegal for insiders to make trades in their companies based on specific, non-public information. This does not mean it is illegal for them to make any trades in their own companies. However, they must report all trades to the SEC via a Form 4. Despite these restrictions, academic research suggests that insiders - in general - tend to outperform the market in their own companies.

Average Trade Profitability

The average trade profitability is the average return of all the open market purchases made by the insider in the last three years. To calculate this, we examine every open-market, unplanned purchase made by the insider, excluding all trades that were marked as part of a 10b5-1 trading plan. We then calculate the average performance of those trades over 3, 6, and 12 months, averaging each of those durations to generate a final performance metric for each trade. Finally, we average all of the performance metrics to calculate a performance metric for the insider. This list only includes insiders that have made at least three trades in the last two years.

If this insiders trade profitability is "N/A", then the insider either has not made any open-market purchases in the last three years, or the trades they’ve made are too recent to calculate a reliable performance metric.

Update Frequency: Daily

See the list of most profitable insider traders.

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Companies with Reported Insider Positions

The SEC filings indicate William H Danforth has reported holdings or trades in the following companies:

Security Title Latest Reported Holdings
US:POST / Post Holdings, Inc. Director 9,744
How to Interpret the Charts

The following charts show the stock performance of securities subsequent to each open-market, non-planned trade made by William H Danforth. Non-planned trade are trades that were not made as part of a 10b5-1 trading plan. The stock performance is charted as cumulative percent change in share price. For example, if an insider trade was made on January 1, 2019, the chart will show the daily percent change of the security to the present day. If the share price were to go from $10 to $15 during this time, the cumulative percent change in share price would be 50%. A change in price from $10 to $20 would be 100%, and a change in price of $10 to $5 would be -50%.

Ultimately, we are trying to determine how closely the insider’s trades correlate to excess returns (positive or negative) in the share price in order to see if the insider is timing their trades to profit from insider information. Consider the situation where an insider was doing this. In this situation, we would expect either (a) positive returns after purchases, or (b) negative returns after sales. In the case of (a), the PURCHASE chart would show a series of upwardly sloping curves, indicating positive returns after each purchase transaction. In the case of (b), the SALE chart would show a series of downward sloping curves, indicating negative returns after each sale transaction.

However, this alone is not enough to draw conclusions. If, for example, the share price of the company was in a non-cyclical climb over many years, then we would expect all the post-purchase plots to be upwardly sloping. Likewise, non-cyclical declines over many years would result in downward sloping post-trade plots. Neither of these charts would suggest insider trading activity.

The strongest indicator would be a situation where the share price was extremely cyclical, and there were both positive signals in the PURCHASE chart and negative plots on the SALE chart. This situation would be highly suggestive of an insider that was timing trades to their financial advantage.

Insider Purchases POST / Post Holdings, Inc. - Short Term Profit Analysis

In this section, we analyze the profitability of every unplanned, open-market insider purchase made in POST / Post Holdings, Inc.. This analysis helps to understand if the insider consistently generates abnormal returns, and is worth following. This analysis is for one-year following each trade, and the results are theoretical.

The following table shows the most recent open market purchases that were not part of an automatic trading plan.

Trade Date Ticker Insider Reported
Shares		 Reported
Price		 Adjusted
Shares		 Adjusted
Price		 Cost Basis Days to
Max		 Price at
Max		 Max
Profit ($)		 Max Return (%)
2012-02-07 POST DANFORTH WILLIAM H 25,000 26.0965 25,000 26.0965 652,412 366 25.7897 -7,670 -1.18

Adjusted Price is the split-adjusted price. Adjusted Shares is the split-adjusted shares.

POST / Post Holdings, Inc. Insider Trades
Insider Sales POST / Post Holdings, Inc. - Short Term Loss Analysis

In this section, we analyze the short-term loss avoidance of every unplanned, open-market insider sale made in POST / Post Holdings, Inc.. A consistent pattern of loss avoidance may suggest that future sale transactions may predict declines in price. This analysis is for one-year following each trade, and the results are theoretical.

The following table shows the most recent open market sales that were not part of an automatic trading plan.

Trade Date Ticker Insider Reported
Shares		 Reported
Price		 Adjusted
Shares		 Adjusted
Price		 Cost Basis Days to
Min		 Price at
Min		 Max Loss
Avoided ($)		 Max Loss
Avoided (%)
There are no known unplanned open-market trades for this insider and security combination

Adjusted Price is the split-adjusted price. Adjusted Shares is the split-adjusted shares.

POST / Post Holdings, Inc. Insider Trades
Insider Trading History

This table shows the complete list of insider trades made by William H Danforth as disclosed to the Securities Exchange Commission (SEC).

File Date Tran Date Form Ticker Security Code 10b5-1 Shares Remaining Shares Percent
Change		 Share
Price		 Tran
Value		 Remaining
Value
2015-04-14 2015-04-10 4 POST Post Holdings, Inc.
Post Holdings, Inc. Stock Equivalents 		A - Award 42 9,744 0.43 47.70 2,009 464,769
2015-04-02 2015-03-31 4 POST Post Holdings, Inc.
Post Holdings, Inc. Stock Equivalents 		A - Award 244 9,702 2.58 46.84 11,444 454,428
2015-03-03 2015-02-27 4 POST Post Holdings, Inc.
Post Holdings, Inc. Stock Equivalents 		A - Award 258 9,460 2.81 49.48 12,777 468,087
2015-02-03 2015-02-03 4 POST Post Holdings, Inc.
Stock Appreciation Rights 		A - Award 5,000 5,000
2015-02-03 2015-01-30 4 POST Post Holdings, Inc.
Post Holdings, Inc. Stock Equivalents 		A - Award 299 9,200 3.35 47.25 14,111 434,722
2014-12-30 2014-12-29 4 POST Post Holdings, Inc.
Post Holdings, Inc. Stock Equivalents 		A - Award 144 8,901 1.65 42.31 6,111 376,605
2014-12-03 2014-12-01 4 POST Post Holdings, Inc.
Post Holdings, Inc. Stock Equivalents 		A - Award 269 8,761 3.17 40.00 10,778 350,442
2014-11-04 2014-10-31 4 POST Post Holdings, Inc.
Post Holdings, Inc. Stock Equivalents 		A - Award 465 8,486 5.80 37.50 17,444 318,242
2014-10-02 2014-09-30 4 POST Post Holdings, Inc.
Post Holdings, Inc. Stock Equivalents 		A - Award 184 8,021 2.35 33.18 6,111 266,147
2014-09-03 2014-08-29 4 POST Post Holdings, Inc.
Post Holdings, Inc. Stock Equivalents 		A - Award 292 7,839 3.86 36.97 10,778 289,813
2014-08-04 2014-07-31 4 POST Post Holdings, Inc.
Post Holdings, Inc. Stock Equivalents 		A - Award 195 7,541 2.66 44.97 8,778 339,123
2014-07-02 2014-06-30 4 POST Post Holdings, Inc.
Post Holdings, Inc. Stock Equivalents 		A - Award 159 7,353 2.21 50.91 8,111 374,341
2014-06-02 2014-05-30 4 POST Post Holdings, Inc.
Post Holdings, Inc. Stock Equivalents 		A - Award 282 7,194 4.09 49.97 14,111 359,493
2014-05-01 2014-05-01 4 POST Post Holdings, Inc.
Post Holdings, Inc. Stock Equivalents 		A - Award 219 6,912 3.27 52.26 11,444 361,213
2014-04-02 2014-03-31 4 POST Post Holdings, Inc.
Post Holdings, Inc. Stock Equivalents 		A - Award 159 6,693 2.44 55.12 8,778 368,910
2014-03-04 2014-02-28 4 POST Post Holdings, Inc.
Post Holdings, Inc. Stock Equivalents 		A - Award 189 6,534 2.97 57.12 10,778 373,219
2014-02-05 2014-02-04 4 POST Post Holdings, Inc.
Stock Appreciation Rights 		A - Award 5,000 5,000
2014-01-31 2014-01-30 4 POST Post Holdings, Inc.
Post Holdings, Inc. Stock Equivalents 		A - Award 163 6,344 2.64 53.72 8,778 340,820
2014-01-02 2013-12-30 4 POST Post Holdings, Inc.
Post Holdings, Inc. Stock Equivalents 		A - Award 234 6,242 3.89 48.97 11,444 305,672
2013-12-04 2013-12-02 4 POST Post Holdings, Inc.
Post Holdings, Inc. Stock Equivalents 		A - Award 269 5,947 4.73 50.07 13,444 297,788
2013-11-01 2013-10-31 4 POST Post Holdings, Inc.
Post Holdings, Inc. Stock Equivalents 		A - Award 251 5,681 4.62 42.95 10,778 243,998
2013-10-01 2013-09-30 4 POST Post Holdings, Inc.
Post Holdings, Inc. Stock Equivalents 		A - Award 217 5,311 4.27 40.37 8,778 214,391
2013-09-03 2013-08-30 4 POST Post Holdings, Inc.
Post Holdings, Inc. Stock Equivalents 		A - Award 252 5,211 5.09 42.70 10,778 222,527
2013-08-02 2013-07-31 4 POST Post Holdings, Inc.
Post Holdings, Inc. Stock Equivalents 		A - Award 247 4,960 5.23 46.39 11,444 230,073
2013-07-02 2013-06-28 4 POST Post Holdings, Inc.
Post Holdings, Inc. Stock Equivalents 		A - Award 186 4,713 4.10 43.66 8,111 205,753
2013-06-03 2013-05-31 4 POST Post Holdings, Inc.
Post Holdings, Inc. Stock Equivalents 		A - Award 255 4,528 5.98 42.19 10,778 191,047
2013-05-02 2013-04-30 4 POST Post Holdings, Inc.
Post Holdings, Inc. Stock Equivalents 		A - Award 200 4,271 4.92 43.79 8,778 187,049
2013-04-03 2013-04-01 4 POST Post Holdings, Inc.
Post Holdings, Inc. Stock Equivalents 		A - Award 204 4,072 5.27 43.03 8,778 175,199
2013-03-04 2013-02-28 4 POST Post Holdings, Inc.
Post Holdings, Inc. Stock Equivalents 		A - Award 348 3,868 9.88 38.66 13,444 149,518
2013-02-06 2013-02-05 4 POST Post Holdings, Inc.
Stock Appreciation Rights 		A - Award 5,000 5,000
2013-02-01 2013-01-31 4 POST Post Holdings, Inc.
Post Holdings, Inc. Stock Equivalents 		A - Award 231 3,519 7.03 37.99 8,778 133,693
2013-01-02 2012-12-28 4 POST Post Holdings, Inc.
Post Holdings, Inc. Stock Equivalents 		A - Award 399 3,289 13.80 33.71 13,444 110,884
2012-12-04 2012-11-30 4 POST Post Holdings, Inc.
Post Holdings, Inc. Stock Equivalents 		A - Award 236 2,890 8.87 34.44 8,111 99,545
2012-11-02 2012-10-31 4 POST Post Holdings, Inc.
Post Holdings, Inc. Stock Equivalents 		A - Award 280 2,670 11.70 31.37 8,778 83,768
2012-10-02 2012-09-28 4 POST Post Holdings, Inc.
Post Holdings, Inc. Stock Equivalents 		A - Award 355 2,354 17.78 30.33 10,778 71,405
2012-09-04 2012-08-31 4 POST Post Holdings, Inc.
Post Holdings, Inc. Stock Equivalents 		A - Award 450 2,017 28.75 29.85 13,444 60,208
2012-08-02 2012-07-31 4 POST Post Holdings, Inc.
Post Holdings, Inc. Stock Equivalents 		A - Award 206 1,567 15.17 29.60 6,111 46,397
2012-07-03 2012-06-29 4 POST Post Holdings, Inc.
Post Holdings, Inc. Stock Equivalents 		A - Award 199 1,361 17.10 30.75 6,111 41,843
2012-06-04 2012-05-31 4 POST Post Holdings, Inc.
Post Holdings, Inc. Stock Equivalents 		A - Award 425 1,162 57.64 30.07 12,777 34,946
2012-05-02 2012-04-30 4 POST Post Holdings, Inc.
Post Holdings, Inc. Stock Equivalents 		A - Award 205 737 38.66 29.75 6,111 21,920
2012-04-03 2012-03-30 4 POST Post Holdings, Inc.
Post Holdings, Inc. Stock Equivalents 		A - Award 185 532 53.31 32.93 6,092 17,519
2012-03-02 2012-03-01 4 POST Post Holdings, Inc.
Post Holdings, Inc. Stock Equivalents 		A - Award 346 346 31.14 10,774 10,774
2012-03-01 2012-02-28 4 POST Post Holdings, Inc.
Stock Appreciation Rights 		A - Award 10,000 10,000
2012-02-13 2012-02-07 4 POST Post Holdings, Inc.
Common Stock 		P - Purchase 25,000 125,499 24.88 26.10 652,412 3,275,085
2012-02-07 3 POST Post Holdings, Inc.
Common Stock 		100,499
P
Open market or private purchase of non-derivative or derivative security
S
Open market or private sale of non-derivative or derivative security
A
Grant, award, or other acquisition of securities from the company (such as an option)
C
Conversion of derivative
D
Sale or transfer of securities back to the company
F
Payment of exercise price or tax liability using portion of securities received from the company
G
Gift of securities by or to the insider
K
Equity swaps and similar hedging transactions
M
Exercise or conversion of derivative security received from the company (such as an option)
V
A transaction voluntarily reported on Form 4
J
Other (accompanied by a footnote describing the transaction)