Argo Group U.S., Inc. - Preferred Security
US ˙ NYSE

Introduction

This page provides a comprehensive analysis of the known insider trading history of Andrew Carrier. Insiders are officers, directors, or significant investors in a company. It is illegal for insiders to make trades in their companies based on specific, non-public information. This does not mean it is illegal for them to make any trades in their own companies. However, they must report all trades to the SEC via a Form 4. Despite these restrictions, academic research suggests that insiders - in general - tend to outperform the market in their own companies.

Average Trade Profitability

The average trade profitability is the average return of all the open market purchases made by the insider in the last three years. To calculate this, we examine every open-market, unplanned purchase made by the insider, excluding all trades that were marked as part of a 10b5-1 trading plan. We then calculate the average performance of those trades over 3, 6, and 12 months, averaging each of those durations to generate a final performance metric for each trade. Finally, we average all of the performance metrics to calculate a performance metric for the insider. This list only includes insiders that have made at least three trades in the last two years.

If this insiders trade profitability is "N/A", then the insider either has not made any open-market purchases in the last three years, or the trades they’ve made are too recent to calculate a reliable performance metric.

Update Frequency: Daily

See the list of most profitable insider traders.

Companies with Reported Insider Positions

The SEC filings indicate Andrew Carrier has reported holdings or trades in the following companies:

Security Title Latest Reported Holdings
US:AGII / Agiiplus Inc - Class A Chief Underwriting Officer 21,221
How to Interpret the Charts

The following charts show the stock performance of securities subsequent to each open-market, non-planned trade made by Andrew Carrier. Non-planned trade are trades that were not made as part of a 10b5-1 trading plan. The stock performance is charted as cumulative percent change in share price. For example, if an insider trade was made on January 1, 2019, the chart will show the daily percent change of the security to the present day. If the share price were to go from $10 to $15 during this time, the cumulative percent change in share price would be 50%. A change in price from $10 to $20 would be 100%, and a change in price of $10 to $5 would be -50%.

Ultimately, we are trying to determine how closely the insider’s trades correlate to excess returns (positive or negative) in the share price in order to see if the insider is timing their trades to profit from insider information. Consider the situation where an insider was doing this. In this situation, we would expect either (a) positive returns after purchases, or (b) negative returns after sales. In the case of (a), the PURCHASE chart would show a series of upwardly sloping curves, indicating positive returns after each purchase transaction. In the case of (b), the SALE chart would show a series of downward sloping curves, indicating negative returns after each sale transaction.

However, this alone is not enough to draw conclusions. If, for example, the share price of the company was in a non-cyclical climb over many years, then we would expect all the post-purchase plots to be upwardly sloping. Likewise, non-cyclical declines over many years would result in downward sloping post-trade plots. Neither of these charts would suggest insider trading activity.

The strongest indicator would be a situation where the share price was extremely cyclical, and there were both positive signals in the PURCHASE chart and negative plots on the SALE chart. This situation would be highly suggestive of an insider that was timing trades to their financial advantage.

Insider Purchases ARGD / Argo Group U.S., Inc. - Preferred Security - Short Term Profit Analysis

In this section, we analyze the profitability of every unplanned, open-market insider purchase made in ARGD / Argo Group U.S., Inc. - Preferred Security. This analysis helps to understand if the insider consistently generates abnormal returns, and is worth following. This analysis is for one-year following each trade, and the results are theoretical.

The following table shows the most recent open market purchases that were not part of an automatic trading plan.

Trade Date Ticker Insider Reported
Shares
Reported
Price
Adjusted
Shares
Adjusted
Price
Cost Basis Days to
Max
Price at
Max
Max
Profit ($)
Max Return (%)
There are no known unplanned open-market trades for this insider and security combination

Adjusted Price is the split-adjusted price. Adjusted Shares is the split-adjusted shares.

ARGD / Argo Group U.S., Inc. - Preferred Security Insider Trades
Insider Sales ARGD / Argo Group U.S., Inc. - Preferred Security - Short Term Loss Analysis

In this section, we analyze the short-term loss avoidance of every unplanned, open-market insider sale made in ARGD / Argo Group U.S., Inc. - Preferred Security. A consistent pattern of loss avoidance may suggest that future sale transactions may predict declines in price. This analysis is for one-year following each trade, and the results are theoretical.

The following table shows the most recent open market sales that were not part of an automatic trading plan.

Trade Date Ticker Insider Reported
Shares
Reported
Price
Adjusted
Shares
Adjusted
Price
Cost Basis Days to
Min
Price at
Min
Max Loss
Avoided ($)
Max Loss
Avoided (%)
2014-06-13 AGII Carrier Andrew 5,388 49.7005 5,388 49.7005 267,786 259

Adjusted Price is the split-adjusted price. Adjusted Shares is the split-adjusted shares.

ARGD / Argo Group U.S., Inc. - Preferred Security Insider Trades
Insider Trading History

This table shows the complete list of insider trades made by Andrew Carrier as disclosed to the Securities Exchange Commission (SEC).

File Date Tran Date Form Ticker Security Code 10b5-1 Shares Remaining Shares Percent
Change
Share
Price
Tran
Value
Remaining
Value
2014-06-17 2014-06-13 4 AGII Argo Group International Holdings, Ltd.
Common Stock
S - Sale -5,388 21,221 -20.25 49.70 -267,786 1,054,694
2014-06-10 2014-06-05 4 AGII Argo Group International Holdings, Ltd.
Stock Appreciation Rights
M - Exercise -16,575 49,725 -25.00
2014-06-10 2014-06-05 4 AGII Argo Group International Holdings, Ltd.
Stock Appreciation Rights
M - Exercise -15,648 31,295 -33.33
2014-06-10 2014-06-05 4 AGII Argo Group International Holdings, Ltd.
Stock Appreciation Rights
M - Exercise -12,740 12,740 -50.00
2014-06-10 2014-06-05 4 AGII Argo Group International Holdings, Ltd.
Stock Appreciation Rights
M - Exercise -8,938 0 -100.00
2014-06-10 2014-06-05 4 AGII Argo Group International Holdings, Ltd.
Common Stock
D - Sale to Issuer -12,185 26,609 -31.41 49.57 -604,010 1,319,008
2014-06-10 2014-06-05 4 AGII Argo Group International Holdings, Ltd.
Common Stock
M - Exercise 16,575 38,794 74.60 36.44 603,993 1,413,653
2014-06-10 2014-06-05 4 AGII Argo Group International Holdings, Ltd.
Common Stock
D - Sale to Issuer -8,508 22,219 -27.69 49.57 -421,742 1,101,396
2014-06-10 2014-06-05 4 AGII Argo Group International Holdings, Ltd.
Common Stock
M - Exercise 15,648 30,727 103.77 26.95 421,714 828,093
2014-06-10 2014-06-05 4 AGII Argo Group International Holdings, Ltd.
Common Stock
D - Sale to Issuer -10,169 15,079 -40.28 49.57 -504,077 747,466
2014-06-10 2014-06-05 4 AGII Argo Group International Holdings, Ltd.
Common Stock
M - Exercise 12,740 25,248 101.85 29.55 376,467 746,078
2014-06-10 2014-06-05 4 AGII Argo Group International Holdings, Ltd.
Common Stock
D - Sale to Issuer -6,766 12,508 -35.10 49.57 -335,391 620,022
2014-06-10 2014-06-05 4 AGII Argo Group International Holdings, Ltd.
Common Stock
M - Exercise 8,938 19,274 86.47 25.46 227,561 490,716
2014-03-18 2014-03-15 4 AGII Argo Group International Holdings, Ltd.
Stock Appreciation Rights
A - Award 66,296 66,296
2013-11-25 2013-11-21 4 AGII Argo Group International Holdings, Ltd.
Stock Appreciation Rights
M - Exercise -12,742 25,480 -33.34
2013-11-25 2013-11-21 4 AGII Argo Group International Holdings, Ltd.
Employee Stock Option (right to buy)
M - Exercise -50,050 0 -100.00
2013-11-25 2013-11-21 4 AGII Argo Group International Holdings, Ltd.
Common Stock
D - Sale to Issuer -8,332 10,336 -44.63 45.20 -376,606 467,187
2013-11-25 2013-11-21 4 AGII Argo Group International Holdings, Ltd.
Common Stock
M - Exercise 12,742 18,668 215.02 29.55 376,526 551,639
2013-11-25 2013-11-21 4 AGII Argo Group International Holdings, Ltd.
Common Stock
D - Sale to Issuer -8,991 5,926 -60.27 45.20 -406,393 267,855
2013-11-25 2013-11-21 4 AGII Argo Group International Holdings, Ltd.
Common Stock
F - Taxes -41,059 14,917 -73.35 45.20 -1,855,867 674,248
2013-11-25 2013-11-21 4 AGII Argo Group International Holdings, Ltd.
Common Stock
M - Exercise 50,050 55,976 844.58 37.08 1,855,854 2,075,590
2013-09-10 2013-09-06 4 AGII Argo Group International Holdings, Ltd.
Stock Appreciation Rights
M - Exercise -15,648 46,943 -25.00
2013-09-10 2013-09-06 4 AGII Argo Group International Holdings, Ltd.
Stock Appreciation Rights
M - Exercise -13,406 8,938 -60.00
2013-09-10 2013-09-06 4 AGII Argo Group International Holdings, Ltd.
Common Stock
D - Sale to Issuer -15,648 5,926 -72.53 40.47 -633,275 239,825
2013-09-10 2013-09-06 4 AGII Argo Group International Holdings, Ltd.
Common Stock
M - Exercise 15,648 21,574 264.06 26.95 421,714 581,419
2013-09-10 2013-09-06 4 AGII Argo Group International Holdings, Ltd.
Common Stock
D - Sale to Issuer -13,406 5,926 -69.35 40.47 -542,541 239,825
2013-09-10 2013-09-06 4 AGII Argo Group International Holdings, Ltd.
Common Stock
M - Exercise 13,406 19,332 226.22 25.46 341,317 492,193
2013-09-10 2013-03-15 4/A AGII Argo Group International Holdings, Ltd.
Stock Appreciation Rights
A - Award 56,901 56,901
2013-08-16 2013-08-14 4 AGII Argo Group International Holdings, Ltd.
Stock Appreciation Rights
M - Exercise -3,890 0 -100.00
2013-08-16 2013-08-14 4 AGII Argo Group International Holdings, Ltd.
Stock Appreciation Rights
M - Exercise -13,406 22,344 -37.50
2013-08-16 2013-08-14 4 AGII Argo Group International Holdings, Ltd.
Stock Appreciation Rights
M - Exercise -12,742 38,222 -25.00
2013-08-16 2013-08-14 4 AGII Argo Group International Holdings, Ltd.
Common Stock
D - Sale to Issuer -3,890 5,926 -39.63 43.97 -171,043 260,566
2013-08-16 2013-08-14 4 AGII Argo Group International Holdings, Ltd.
Common Stock
M - Exercise 3,890 9,816 65.64 25.58 99,506 251,093
2013-08-16 2013-08-14 4 AGII Argo Group International Holdings, Ltd.
Common Stock
D - Sale to Issuer -13,406 5,926 -69.35 43.97 -589,462 260,566
2013-08-16 2013-08-14 4 AGII Argo Group International Holdings, Ltd.
Common Stock
M - Exercise 13,406 19,332 226.22 25.46 341,317 492,193
2013-08-16 2013-08-14 4 AGII Argo Group International Holdings, Ltd.
Common Stock
D - Sale to Issuer -12,742 5,926 -68.26 43.97 -560,266 260,566
2013-08-16 2013-08-14 4 AGII Argo Group International Holdings, Ltd.
Common Stock
M - Exercise 12,742 18,668 215.02 29.55 376,526 551,639
2013-06-12 2013-06-10 4 AGII Argo Group International Holdings, Ltd.
Stock Appreciation Rights
M - Exercise -38,905 0 -100.00
2013-06-12 2013-06-10 4 AGII Argo Group International Holdings, Ltd.
Common Stock
D - Sale to Issuer -38,905 5,388 -87.84 40.81 -1,587,713 219,884
2013-06-12 2013-06-10 4 AGII Argo Group International Holdings, Ltd.
Common Stock
M - Exercise 38,905 44,293 722.07 28.14 1,094,787 1,246,405
2013-03-15 2013-03-15 4 AGII Argo Group International Holdings, Ltd.
Stock Appreciation Rights
A - Award 58,644 58,644
2012-03-13 2012-03-09 4 AGII Argo Group International Holdings, Ltd.
Stock Appreciation Rights
A - Award 46,332 46,332
P
Open market or private purchase of non-derivative or derivative security
S
Open market or private sale of non-derivative or derivative security
A
Grant, award, or other acquisition of securities from the company (such as an option)
C
Conversion of derivative
D
Sale or transfer of securities back to the company
F
Payment of exercise price or tax liability using portion of securities received from the company
G
Gift of securities by or to the insider
K
Equity swaps and similar hedging transactions
M
Exercise or conversion of derivative security received from the company (such as an option)
V
A transaction voluntarily reported on Form 4
J
Other (accompanied by a footnote describing the transaction)